How do scientists calculate the probability that an asteroid could hit Earth? The 2024 YR4 asteroid may come close to Earth, but how do experts calculate this potential impact? Astrobitica July 23, 2025 (Last updated: July 23, 2025) 1 minute read The 2024 YR4 asteroid may come close to Earth, but how do experts calculate this potential impact? About the Author Astrobitica Administrator Visit Website View All Posts Post navigation Previous: China tightens quality oversight over commercial space projectsNext: Binary star systems are complex astronomical objects. A new AI approach could pin down their properties quickly